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Monsoon may not exit country on schedule

Times of India: The southwest monsoon, it seems, may take some time to exit the country. As per the schedule, it should have completed its return journey by Thursday, October 15, but absence of  favourable conditions is an obstacle.

Medha Khole, Director, India Meteorological Department (Weather Forecasting), confirmed that total withdrawal is not expected for next couple of days. “Next withdrawal was from the northeast region, but currently it’s raining there,” she said.

According to IMD, monsoon has withdrawn from Uttarakhand, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradish, Bihar, Chhattisgarh and some parts of Jharkhand and Maharashtra. But it is yet to withdraw from northeast, southern Maharashtra, Goa and the whole of south India.

“At least five days of dry conditions should prevail in the area where withdrawal has to be declared. There should be no rains in the area and moisture levels should go down measurably,” Khole said.

This year, the monsoon had set in over Kerala on May 23, one week before its normal date of June 1. Though it took a halt after progressing for a couple of days, it advanced rapidly and covered the entire country by July 3, compared to its normal date of July 15.

Last year, the monsoon had started withdrawing almost a month after delay of 29 days, but it managed to withdrawn on time. “The delay of monsoon withdrawal results in an extended monsoon activity. The current delay will benefit regions like northeast, southern Maharashtra, Goa and the whole of south India. A marginal increase in rainfall activity will be seen in these regions,” said Deputy Director General Meteorology (DDGM) A B Mazumdar.

Post-monsoon in progress
The rainfall distribution in the year is categorised as per the calendar year. The rainfall between January 1 and June 1 is considered as pre-monsoon rainfall; between June 1 and September 30 is known as the monsoon rainfall, and after September 30 till the end of the year is the post-monsoon rainfall. “Even if the monsoon does not totally withdraw from country till September end, rainfall taking place after that is considered as post-monsoon,” Khole said, adding, this arrangement has been for better systemization of data collection and experiments.”

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